Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 146.749743 170.940115 199.523833 236.247670 282.857408 340.998841 4.205862e+02
2025-03-09 114.782389 144.139370 182.786009 239.039807 321.862835 444.796602 6.531196e+02
2025-03-16 95.359580 125.127185 166.938204 232.795560 339.931888 520.280813 8.826295e+02
2025-03-23 86.227159 117.487842 163.954052 242.579938 383.232609 652.175246 1.304574e+03
2025-03-30 75.365953 105.233782 151.318760 233.191585 389.826015 719.195465 1.650218e+03
2025-04-06 69.114923 98.870519 146.530840 235.541285 418.405220 845.853782 2.299550e+03
2025-04-13 63.448248 92.575045 140.689172 234.419308 439.316744 966.968597 3.126532e+03
2025-04-20 60.791525 90.738251 142.013727 247.047832 494.892754 1218.611004 5.091817e+03
2025-04-27 59.516550 90.981855 146.952314 268.064251 579.740157 1639.648511 9.934644e+03
2025-05-04 55.563267 86.119786 141.698841 265.965853 603.355859 1871.296459 1.517277e+04
2025-05-11 52.680988 82.838066 138.991918 269.018292 643.443376 2222.973642 2.691520e+04
2025-05-18 49.877002 79.409073 135.529721 269.556091 676.637754 2594.610866 5.038565e+04
2025-05-25 47.336934 76.545839 133.496082 275.005819 736.215002 3275.211276 1.569272e+05
2025-06-01 44.780594 73.445929 130.671865 278.251047 793.241626 4128.971694 9.527449e+05
2025-06-08 41.683316 68.989017 124.336369 270.583474 804.901296 4694.642958 1.248548e+07
2025-06-15 40.352953 67.829372 124.998857 282.617369 908.147456 6629.686651 NaN
2025-06-22 37.568675 63.527887 118.092305 271.069499 898.881528 7245.217209 NaN
2025-06-29 35.979347 61.493218 116.108658 273.956351 963.380240 9468.268860 NaN
2025-07-06 34.280564 59.088144 112.970433 272.577605 1006.724360 11859.069465 NaN
2025-07-13 33.656264 58.841255 114.903698 288.125352 1161.562883 19736.014002 NaN
2025-07-20 33.528702 59.618797 119.439762 314.138452 1419.958670 43549.175611 NaN
2025-07-27 32.061868 57.393886 116.166184 311.533552 1478.425219 61528.389735 NaN
2025-08-03 30.983980 55.933092 114.685485 315.323325 1595.529199 106556.396738 NaN